In the Crowded Best International Feature Film Race, All Quiet on the Western Front pulls Ahead

In the Crowded Best International Feature Film Race, All Quiet on the Western Front pulls Ahead ...

IndieWire's previous Best International Feature predictions for the 2023 Oscars are updated throughout the award season, and we republish previous versions (like this one) to keep readers updated on how the Oscar race has changed. Visit our 2023 Oscars predictions hub for the latest information.

The first Oscar telecast will be broadcast on Sunday, March 12 at 8:00 p.m. ET/5:00 p.m. PT. Nominations voting will take place from January 12 to January 17, 2023, with official Oscar nominations announced on January 24, 2023. The final voting will take place on March 2 through 7, 2023.

Eric Kohn and Anne Thompson are collaborating on prediction updates for this category. See Thompson's preliminary thoughts for what to expect at the 95th Academy Awards here and earlier predictions for this category here.

The International Feature Film Oscar shortlist has 15 films, nearly everything that has made the cut in recent months. The most global category includes relatively big-budget contenders from Europe, Latin America, and Asia, but some emerging filmmakers might also make the cut.

With two of the most well-known films on the shortlist this year, it makes sense that as the platform continues to expand its international presence, it has a strong showing in this category. Besides Makeup and Hairstyling, Music, Sound, and Visual Effects, the German entry likewise won a spot in the category of Best Picture.

With shocking realism and intense camerawork similar to "1917," director Edward Berger's bleak, brutal look at WWI's trenches from the perspective of a reluctant recruit (Felix Kammerer) anticipates the film's popularity to grow as Netflix invests additional resources.

'Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths,' a two-time Best Director award for Mexico's two-time Best Director nominee, finds itself as a dreamlike descent into the character's identity dilemma since its release in Telluride, where everyone from Cate Blanchett to Barry Jenkins praised it.

"Argentina, 1985"

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"Argentina 1985," a film directed by Santiago Mitre, recreates the country's famous "Trial of the Juntas," in which the military government from the dictatorship years was tried, and its stirring social justice message extends far beyond the country's borders.

Park Chan-wook is well-known for his enigmatic and moody film noir, which has had a modest theatrical success in the United States for MUBI. The film, which has also included a well-received sequel to MUBI, has left many customers wondering whether or not it would be successful if Park did not take a stand.

Lukas Dhont, a 30-year-old Belgian filmmaker, has taken a risk in remaking his breakout trans drama "Girl" for its portrayal of a prepubescent male friendship. The tragic tale follows Léo (Eden Dambrine) who establishes a close, quasi-romantic friendship with Rémi (Gustav de Waele), who is bullied by homophobic classmates.

As more Academy members explore the short list, these films may have the best shot at the category. That includes "EO," from octogenarian filmmaker Jerzy Skolimowski, a wondrous visual odyssey about the life of a donkey, and IFC Films' Austrian entry "Corsage," a playful period piece starring a pitch-perfect Vicky Krieps as Austria's Empress Elisabeth.

"Holy Spider"

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The complicated Middle East is at the heart of several contenders this year, including Danish entry "Holy Spider" (shot in Jordan and set in Iran, it follows a serial killer who targets sex workers) and Sweden's university thriller "Cairo Conspiracy" (previously known as "Boy From Heaven"); that plot also forms the basis for Pakistani entry "Joyland," which was briefly banned for its content.

The film, which is arousing crowdpleaser about a traditionalist man falling for a trans dancer, won the Queer Palme at Cannes. Despite its first-time director's praise and a Sundance appearance, the film has yet to get a distribution deal in the United States many months after its release — although its current status in the Oscar race might change that.

Lastly, it's worth noting some of the ones that were on the verge of making the cut here: "Alcarras," a Spanish film about a family battling to save its peach farm from a corporate acquisition, the Brazilian Bolsonaro family drama "Mars One," and the Norwegian war epic "War Sailor."

The following list is alphabetical.

"All Quiet on the Western Front" (Edward Berger, Germany) "Argentina, 1985" (Santiago Mitre, Argentina) "Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths" (Alejandro González Iárritu, Mexico) "Close" (Lukas Dhont, Belgium) "Decision to Leave" (Park Chan-wook, Korea)

Contenders: "The Blue Caftan" (Morocco) "Cairo Conspiracy" (Sweden) "Corsage" (Austria) "Holy Spider" (Denmark) "Joyland" (Pakistan) "Last Film Show" (India) "The Quiet Girl" (Ireland) "Return to Seoul" (Cambodia) "Saint Omer" (Saint Omer)