We'll update these results throughout the awards season, so keep checking IndieWire for all of our 2023 Oscar picks. Final voting will be held on March 2 through 7, 2023. The 95th Oscars will be broadcast on Sunday, March 12 and air live on ABC at 8:00 p.m. ET/5:00 p.m. PT.
Here are some of our earlier observations on what to anticipate at the 95th Academy Awards.
After years of standing out roles in films like "If Beale Street Could Talk," the 2023 Oscar nominees have been moving up and down our list of contenders throughout the awards season. Brian Tyree Henry finally made the cut for the quiet Apple TV+ film "Causeway." It was a surprise, but the vibes were always pointing that way.
Ke Huy Quan, who plays the lead in "Everything Everywhere All at Once," has won more critics awards than any other acting nominee, and his moving acceptance speeches went viral after the Golden Globes and the Critics Choice Awards. But the return story of "Indiana Jones and the Temple of Doom" makes him easy to savor.
Judd Hirsch is the second oldest acting nominee to date, and he set a new record for longest-running gap between nominations; it's been 42 years since he was nominated for "Ordinary People" in the same category in 1981, but he did not. Dano's absence might help Hirsch's career, as he is now the sole representative for the family drama in this category.
"The Banshees of Inisherin" might be more popular with the Academy than "Everything All At Once" and "The Fabelmans," but Brendan Gleeson and Barry Keoghan, both seniors, may be the ones to vote for since Keoghan has spent the majority of the awards season on the bubble. It's tough to outrun a contender as strong as Quan.
Nominees are ranked below in order of likelihood they will win.
Ke Huy Quan (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”), Judd Hirsch (“The Fabelmans”), Barry Keoghan (“The Banshees of Inisherin”), Brian Tyree Henry (“Causeway”)